Bitcoin difficulty rises to 148.2T, 149T expected Jan 8 2026

Bitcoin mining difficulty edges up to 148.2T and is forecast to reach ~149T on Jan 8, 2026 as hashrate rises and average block times slip to 9.95 minutes.

  • Bitcoin (BTC) mining difficulty rose to 148.2 trillion in the last 2025 adjustment and is projected to reach 149 trillion on January 8, 2026 at block height 931,392, according to CoinWarz.
  • Average block times are about 9.95 minutes, slightly under the 10-minute target, which supports an upward difficulty move.
  • The difficulty adjusts every 2016 blocks (about two weeks) to keep block production near the 10-minute target, preserving decentralization and a steady issuance schedule.
  • The network hashrate continues to climb, increasing resource requirements for miners, per data from CryptoQuant.

The Bitcoin (BTC) network’s mining difficulty rose modestly to 148.2 trillion in the final adjustment of 2025. CoinWarz projects the next adjustment for January 8, 2026 at block height 931,392 and expects difficulty to increase to about 149 trillion.

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Average block times are near 9.95 minutes, slightly below the 10-minute target, which tends to trigger upward difficulty changes. A block time is the average time it takes to add a new block to the ledger; the protocol targets roughly 10 minutes per block.

Difficulty adjusts every 2016 blocks, or about every two weeks, based on recent block times. Mining difficulty is a measure of how hard it is to find a valid block hash; higher difficulty requires more computing work.

The network hashrate, a proxy for total computing power, continues to climb, according to CryptoQuant. Hashrate refers to the combined processing power used to secure the network and mine blocks.

Rising difficulty forces miners to use more computing and energy resources to stay competitive, increasing operational costs. The difficulty adjustment helps maintain decentralization and protect Bitcoin’s price by preventing rapid, sustained block production that could enable a 51% attack — when a single miner or group controls a majority of the network’s computing power.

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