Bitcoin at Critical Undervalued Level as MVRV Drops to 1.2

Bitcoin undervalued at $62,000 with analysts split on drop to $38k or rally

  • Data from CryptoQuant shows Bitcoin‘s MVRV ratio is at 1.2, nearing undervalued territory below 1.
  • Bitcoin’s price fell to $62,000 earlier this month, currently down nearly 30% over the previous month.
  • Analysts from CoinCodex anticipate a potential rally to $88,047 by May 2026, while Stifel predicts a possible drop to $38,000.

Bitcoin is currently flirting with historically undervalued levels, according to CryptoQuant’s BTC data. The flagship cryptocurrency’s MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio now sits at 1.2, a figure that indicates it is approaching a point where the average holder is at a loss. Consequently, the metric suggests Bitcoin’s price may be near a pivotal bottom.

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However, Bitcoin’s price action remains turbulent after reclaiming the $71,000 level from a drop to $62,000 earlier this month. CoinCodex analysts also anticipate Bitcoin (BTC) to rally here on, predicting a rise to $88,047 by May 11, 2026. This optimistic outlook, implying a 31.5% gain, offers a stark contrast to more bearish perspectives.

Meanwhile, other analysts present a more cautious or negative forecast for the market’s trajectory. Some believe Bitcoin’s price could continue to fall toward the $50,000 level. The financial firm Stifel presents an even more severe outlook, predicting a potential drop to $38,000.

Despite the bullish prediction from some corners, significant macroeconomic uncertainties persist. Market participants are largely avoiding risky assets amid a widespread liquidity crunch. How Bitcoin navigates these conflicting signals remains to be seen.

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