- Ark Invest projects the digital-asset market could reach $28 trillion by 2030, with Bitcoin capturing about 70% (around $16 trillion).
- U.S. ETFs and public companies now hold roughly 12% of Bitcoin supply, up from 8.7% in early 2025.
- Tokenized real-world assets rose to $19 billion in 2025 and could expand to $11 trillion by 2030, supported by funds like BlackRock‘s $1.7 billion BUIDL vehicle and tokenized Gold from Tether and Paxos.
- Decentralized finance produced a record $3.8 billion in revenue in 2025; lean protocols such as Hyperliquid exceeded $800 million in annual revenue and 70 protocols now top $1 million in monthly recurring revenue.
- Analysts say regulatory clarity will determine whether tokenization and DeFi scale; Bitcoin showed lower volatility in 2025 and outperformed Ethereum and Solana on risk-adjusted returns.
In its Big Ideas 2026 report, ARK Invest projects the digital-asset market could swell to $28 trillion by 2030, with Bitcoin taking roughly 70% of that value (about $16 trillion). The firm cites exchange-traded fund adoption and corporate treasury allocations as primary growth drivers.
The report notes U.S. ETFs and public companies now hold about 12% of Bitcoin’s supply, up from 8.7% in early 2025. It also highlights lower Bitcoin volatility in 2025 and that Bitcoin’s risk-adjusted returns outpaced Ethereum and Solana for much of the year.
Tokenized real-world assets tripled to $19 billion in 2025 and could reach $11 trillion by 2030, the report finds. That growth is anchored by vehicles such as BlackRock’s $1.7 billion BUIDL fund and tokenized gold from Tether and Paxos.
Decentralized finance saw record revenue of $3.8 billion in 2025, with January alone accounting for one-fifth of that total. Ultra-lean platforms like Hyperliquid generated more than $800 million in annual revenue with fewer than 15 employees, and 70 protocols now exceed $1 million in monthly recurring revenue.
Industry figures emphasized the role of regulation and infrastructure. Joni Pirovich, founder and CEO of Crystal aOS, called the projections “reasonable,” and said “Crypto-native financial platforms are scaling, but they’re not seeking to become global centralized institutions—they’re seeking global acceptance and navigating fragmented compliance requirements.” Sudhakar Lakshmanaraja of Digital South Trust added “crypto’s future in 2026 will be decided more by regulation than innovation.”
Wook Lee, founder and CEO of EDENA Capital Partners, said “In 2026, the convergence of mature regulatory frameworks and interoperable institutional networks will allow sovereign digital securities to redefine global capital formation,” and called tokenized markets the “primary driver of real-world economic activity across the digital asset ecosystem.”
Market tools show current sentiment and price moves: an embedded Myriad market tracks Bitcoin scenarios, and a separate Myriad prediction market assigns traders a near 55% chance that crypto, not AI, bursts first. Bitcoin traded just below $90,000, according to CoinGecko data.
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