AMD’s Q4 Beat Upended By Tepid Guidance, Stock Dives 17%

AMD stock drops sharply despite strong earnings, as ambitious future AI revenue forecasts miss highest expectations.

  • AMD stock plummeted over 17% despite beating earnings estimates, as future revenue guidance disappointed some investors.
  • The company reported Q4 EPS of $1.53 on revenue of $10.3 billion, surpassing Bloomberg estimates.
  • CEO Lisa Su projects the data center business to grow over 60% annually, targeting “tens of billions” in annual AI revenue by 2027.

Advanced Micro Devices reported stronger-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings this week, but its stock price cratered by over 17% as its forward-looking guidance failed to meet the most ambitious projections. This dramatic market reaction underscored the high expectations investors have placed on the chipmaker’s Artificial Intelligence ambitions.

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Specifically, AMD reported earnings per share of $1.53 on revenue of $10.3 billion. These figures beat Wall Street expectations of $1.32 EPS on $9.6 billion in revenue, according to Bloomberg estimates. Consequently, the company’s stock dive was not a response to its past performance.

However, the market focused on AMD‘s forecast for the current quarter, which was $9.5 billion to $10.1 billion. While this exceeded consensus estimates of $9.4 billion, some forecasts had anticipated over $10 billion. This perceived miss is where analysts viewed the report as bearish, according to Bloomberg.

During the earnings call, CEO Lisa Su expressed strong confidence in the company’s trajectory. “Based on the strength of our EPYC and Instinct roadmaps, we are well-positioned to grow data center segment revenue by more than 60% annually over the next three to five years and scale our AI business to tens of billions in annual revenue in 2027,” she stated.

Meanwhile, Wall Street analysts quickly revised their outlooks. JPMorgan analyst Harlan Sur called the report a “mixed bag,” reiterating a neutral rating and a $270 price target. Meanwhile, Bank of America analysts noted that AMD stock remains “relatively under-owned,” according to data from the Bank of America Strategy team.

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